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Welcome to the SAMI Consulting Blog, where we provide expert insights, strategies, and support to help you develop robust plans that can withstand change and navigate a wide range of potential futures.


ESPAS Horizon Scanning
We recently reviewed the EC Strategic Foresight Report , entitled Resilience 2.0, but ESPAS (the European Strategy and Policy Analysis System) also produces frequent Horizon Scanning reports. Their most recent reports from 2025 (Issues 7 and 8 – earlier Issues do not appear to be easily accessible) identify 14 or 15 signals of change. In each they have focussed on describing the details of three of them. They seem to have deliberately looked for “weak signals”, some very unce
3 days ago4 min read


Climate in a Populist Age: Why Decarbonisation Won’t Stop But Will Get Messier
What happens to climate action when the political weather turns populist: more inward-looking, more suspicious of experts, more focused on growth and national pride than on multilateral promises? That’s no longer an abstract question. Across the West, parties and leaders with nativist or “majoritarian” instincts are either in office or within reach of it. Meanwhile, China is doubling down on renewables and exporting the kit to the rest of the world. If you work in energy, ind
Oct 155 min read


Net Zero Technology Outlook
The Government Office for Science has produced an updated report on the technology mix needed in key emitting sectors to reach net zero...
Sep 124 min read


Why Growth? Between Necessity and Reckoning
Ask a minister how we’re going to pay for pensions, fund healthcare, equip the armed forces, support innovation, or build green...
Jul 175 min read


The Shape of Things to Come – Today: Part 1
Introduction Not nearly enough attention is paid today to H.G. Wells , one of the giants of foresight. What is distinctive about his...
Jun 185 min read


Futures Practice in an Age of AI – Beyond Prediction to Engagement
This is an edited version of the presentation which Jonathan Blanchard Smith delivered to the Futures4Europe Conference 2025, held in...
May 224 min read


Beyond Scenarios: Five Ways AI Is Reshaping Strategic Foresight
Most of us who think about the future—professionally, strategically, or just out of curiosity—have probably tried asking ChatGPT to...
May 155 min read


Implications of Arctic ice melting
One of the challenges of Futures thinking is the way that trends and drivers interact with each other in complex ways, creating...
May 24 min read


Weak signals in Science and Technologies – 2024
The EC’s Joint Research Centre (JRC) has recently published a report on technology horizon scanning they conducted during 2024,...
Apr 105 min read


Drivers of change – faster and faster, deeper and wider
SAMI continues to maintain and track key drivers of change through ongoing horizon scanning, and we noted a couple of years ago that the...
Apr 27 min read


World Economic Forum Global Risk Report 2025
It’s that time of year when various luminaries gather in Davos to sort out the world. They do so as President Trump takes office and...
Jan 244 min read


The Strategic Operating Environment in Finland
As the first step in their annual Report on the Future, the Finnish Prime Minister’s Office has published its view of the “ Strategic...
Dec 19, 20246 min read
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